Pace and Analysis- Chinese Grand Prix 2024

Qualifying Pace-

I have collated the fastest laps by each driver in qualifying, to show the average gap to the fastest driver. Whilst this extends the gap between drivers who made it to the top ten and those below, I’ve ruled using the overall fastest times a better grounding point for the true limit of the top cars, as the cars most likely to compete for points are my primary focus in these analyses.

Additionally, I have collected the data for the gaps between teammates. I did this by using their lap times set in the same qualifying session. I generally compare the last session both drivers competed in, however if both set their fastest times in earlier, I count these instead.

Race Pace-

I have calculated the average pace of the drivers, removing the first laps, laps in the pit lane and laps under the safety car as these are all too slow to be representative. Additionally, I removed any laps with major errors I noticed, for example spinning in the lap. In previous races, I excluded the laps after a safety car restart, as these tended to resemble the first laps, yet I counted them for China, as the long straights on the track seem to have negated the loss from cars being bunched up in the lap’s corners. I have only included drivers that completed at least 75% of the laps to not skew the season averages against drivers that never got the chance to run their cars on low fuel.
As different drivers have a varying number of race stints, this skews the overall pace. Generally, if a driver makes more stops, their pace will be faster on average. This will be considered in my final thoughts and analysis. Additionally, the average pace per stint and number of stints are recorded at the bottom of this article, for those interested in viewing more precise estimates of pace relative to other drivers on the same stint.

Analysis:

• This race offers the best direct comparison between teammates so far this season, as the opportune safety car caused most teammates to have the exact same strategy during the second half of the race.
• The undercut was very powerful during this race, however the safety car negated the advantage those who had stopped early had. This proved an advantage for Norris and Leclerc, who did not pit before the safety car, however, if there was no safety car, it is likely both drivers would have lost out.
• Verstappen was the only driver to complete lap twenty one of the race before the safety car was called.
• As seen on Twitter, I can confirm that every lap Verstappen completed was faster than the respective laps from Perez, Leclerc, and Norris. These drivers were never faster than Verstappen, not for a lap, not for a stint and probably not even for a corner.
• Piastri was significantly slower than Norris for the entire race, in every stint, even before he received damage. Whilst he has shown a lot of potential, he really needs to learn how to manage the tyres soon. This is an essential skill to be successful in the sport, if Oscar is the generational talent many have claimed, he can’t use inexperience as an excuse for bad race pace.
• This was the first weekend that Alpine did not look like the slowest car. I would say, well done, but they are the Renault works team, they don’t really have too many excuses for their performance this year.

Further Resources-
Qualifying Pace:

DriverFastest Qualifying Time
Max Verstappen93.66 (0%)
Sergio Perez93.982 (+0.344%)
Fernando Alonso94.148 (+0.521%)
Lando Norris94.165 (+0.539%)
Oscar Piastri94.273 (+0.654%)
Charles Leclerc94.289 (+0.671%)
Carlos Sainz94.297 (+0.680%)
George Russell94.433 (+0.825%)
Nico Hulkenberg94.604 (+1.008%)
Valtteri Bottas94.665 (+1.073%)
Lance Stroll94.838 (+1.257%)
Daniel Ricciardo94.934 (+1.360%)
Esteban Ocon95.223 (+1.669%)
Alexander Albon95.241 (+1.688%)
Pierre Gasly95.287 (+1.737%)
Zhou Guanyu95.505 (+1.970%)
Kevin Magnussen95.516 (+1.982%)
Lewis Hamilton95.573 (+2.042%)
Yuki Tsunoda95.746 (+2.227%)
Logan Sargeant96.358 (+2.881%)

Average Race Pace:

DriverPace
Max Verstappen99.779 (0%)
Sergio Perez100.42 (+0.643%)
Lando Norris100.664 (+0.887%)
Fernando Alonso100.771 (+0.995%)
Charles Leclerc100.979 (+1.203%)
George Russell101.19 (+1.414%)
Carlos Sainz101.204 (+1.428%)
Lance Stroll101.365 (+1.590%)
Pierre Gasly101.576 (+1.802%)
Oscar Piastri101.64 (+1.865%)
Zhou Guanyu101.777 (+2.002%)
Nico Hulkenberg101.854 (+2.080%)
Lewis Hamilton101.888 (+2.114%)
Esteban Ocon101.946 (+2.172%)
Alexander Albon102.154 (+2.380%)
Kevin Magnussen102.567 (+2.794%)
Logan Sargeant102.641 (+2.869%)

All Stints:

Best StintsPace
Verstappen 3rd (25L/NH)99.194
Alonso 4th (12L/NM)99.572
Norris 2nd (25L/NH)99.743
Perez 3rd (25L/NH)99.849
Verstappen 2nd (7L/NH)99.982
Leclerc 2nd (25L/NH)100.079
Alonso 3rd (11L/NS)100.259
Zhou 4th (15L/NS)100.287
Sainz 2nd (27L/NH)100.408
Stroll 5th (20L/UH)100.485
Gasly 4th (17L/NM)100.519
Russell 3rd (25L/NH)100.591
Perez 2nd (6L/NH)100.622
Verstappen 1st (11L/NM)100.978
Piastri 3rd (25L/NH)101.274
Hamilton 3rd (25L/NH)101.276
Alonso 2nd (8L/NH)101.38
Hulkenberg 3rd (25L/NH)101.394
Russell 2nd (8L/NM)101.45
Ocon 3rd (25L/NH)101.457
Ricciardo 2nd (5L/NM)101.477
Gasly 3rd (6L/NH)101.486
Albon 3rd (25L/NH)101.535
Perez 1st (11L/NM)101.607
Zhou 3rd (8L/NH)101.739
Stroll 2nd (10L/NM)101.846
Gasly 2nd (8L/NH)101.86
Norris 1st (19L/NM)101.875
Magnussen 3rd (25L/NM)101.928
Hulkenberg 2nd (11L/NH)102.126
Leclerc 1st (19L/NM)102.163
Sargeant 2nd (7L/NM)102.222
Bottas 2nd (9L/NH)102.223
Ocon 2nd (10L/NH)102.255
Hamilton 2nd (10L/NM)102.256
Sargeant 3rd (25L/NH)102.295
Alonso 1st (9L/NM)102.455
Tsunoda 2nd (11L/NM)102.582
Piastri 1st (14L/NM)102.583
Zhou 2nd (11L/NH)102.606
Russell 1st (9L/NM)102.62
Sainz 1st (15L/NM)102.636
Stroll 1st (7L/NS)102.825
Albon 2nd (10L/NM)102.884
Bottas 1st (7L/NM)103.053
Ocon 1st (7L/NM)103.249
Hulkenberg 1st (6L/NM)103.272
Albon 1st (7L/NM)103.32
Gasly 1st (9L/NM)103.381
Ricciardo 1st (12L/NM)103.396
Tsunoda 1st (6L/NS)103.53
Hamilton 1st (7L/NS)103.549
Sargeant 1st (11L/NS)103.799
Magnussen 1st (15L/NH)103.812
Zhou 1st (6L/NM)104.029

Key: 1L= One Lap, 2L= Two Laps, NH= New Hards, UM= Used Mediums, NM= New Mediums, NS= New Softs


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