Pace and Analysis- Miami Grand Prix 2024

I have collated the fastest laps by each driver in qualifying, to show the average gap to the fastest driver. Whilst this extends the gap between drivers who made it to the top ten and those below, I’ve ruled using the overall fastest times a better grounding point for the true limit of the top cars, as the cars most likely to compete for points are my primary focus in these analyses.

Qualifying Pace-

Additionally, I have collected the data for the gaps between teammates. I did this by using their lap times set in the same qualifying session. I generally compare the last session both drivers competed in, however if both set their fastest times in earlier, I count these instead.

Race Pace-

I have calculated the average pace of the drivers, removing the first laps, laps in the pit lane and laps under the safety car as these are all too slow to be representative. Additionally, I removed any laps with major errors I noticed, for example spinning in the lap. In previous races, I excluded the laps after a safety car restart, as these tended to resemble the first laps, yet I counted them for China, as the long straights on the track seem to have negated the loss from cars being bunched up in the lap’s corners. I have only included drivers that completed at least 75% of the laps to not skew the season averages against drivers that never got the chance to run their cars on low fuel. [1]   

As different drivers have a varying number of race stints, this skews the overall pace. Generally, if a driver makes more stops, their pace will be faster on average. This will be considered in my final thoughts and analysis. Additionally, the average pace per stint and number of stints are recorded at the bottom of this article, for those interested in viewing more precise estimates of pace relative to other drivers on the same stint.[2]

Analysis:

  • The McLaren was quite evidently the quickest car in clean air in Miami, as Piastri’s first stint and Norris’ second stint were both quicker than Verstappen’s respective stints.
  • The Aston Martin, especially from Alonso, was particularly slow in Miami. The team needs upgrades to improve their pace or they’re at risk of falling behind RB and maybe even Haas. Last year, Aston’s upgrades were very weak, some even making the team fall backwards, so if this trend repeats itself, Aston could be in real trouble.
  • Alpine is continuing to make a slow rise up the midfield. They were quicker than Williams and Sauber throughout the whole weekend. With Williams’ long-term plan being to sacrifice this year and Sauber’s never-ending incompetency, Alpine appear to be in the fight for points at least now. How far they’ll move up the midfield will be seen, but they probably expect to be with RB and Aston Martin by the end of the season.
  • Mercedes showed relatively solid pace in the race, particularly from Hamilton. Whilst not challenging the top three, I expect them to hold onto fourth place, when taking into account Aston’s struggles this weekend.

Further Resources-

Qualifying Pace:

DriverFastest Qualifying Time
Max Verstappen87.241 (0%)
Charles Leclerc87.382 (+0.162%)
Carlos Sainz87.455 (+0.245%)
Sergio Perez87.46 (+0.251%)
Lando Norris87.594 (+0.405%)
Oscar Piastri87.675 (+0.497%)
Lewis Hamilton87.697 (+0.523%)
Pierre Gasly87.976 (+0.842%)
George Russell88.067 (+0.947%)
Nico Hulkenberg88.146 (+1.037%)
Yuki Tsunoda88.167 (+1.061%)
Lance Stroll88.177 (+1.073%)
Esteban Ocon88.209 (+1.110%)
Alexander Albon88.343 (+1.263%)
Fernando Alonso88.427 (+1.359%)
Valtteri Bottas88.463 (+1.401%)
Logan Sargeant88.487 (+1.428%)
Daniel Ricciardo88.617 (+1.577%)
Kevin Magnussen88.619 (+1.580%)
Zhou Guanyu88.824 (+1.815%)

Average Race Pace:

DriverPace
Lando Norris92.168 (0%)
Max Verstappen92.198 (+0.033%)
Charles Leclerc92.233 (+0.071%)
Carlos Sainz92.305 (+0.150%)
Sergio Perez92.405 (+0.258%)
Oscar Piastri92.433 (+0.288%)
Lewis Hamilton92.716 (+0.595%)
Yuki Tsunoda93.051 (+0.959%)
George Russell93.085 (+0.995%)
Nico Hulkenberg93.231 (+1.154%)
Lance Stroll93.26 (+1.185%)
Pierre Gasly93.301 (+1.230%)
Esteban Ocon93.309 (+1.238%)
Fernando Alonso93.339 (+1.271%)
Kevin Magnussen93.393 (+1.330%)
Alexander Albon93.428 (+1.367%)
Valtteri Bottas93.475 (+1.419%)
Zhou Guanyu93.604 (+1.558%)
Daniel Ricciardo93.649 (+1.607%)

All Stints:

Best StintsPace
Norris 2nd (24L/NH)91.205
Sainz 2nd (24L/NH)91.545
Verstappen 2nd (27L/NH)91.576
Perez 3rd (24L/UM)91.657
Hamilton 2nd (24L/UM)91.68
Leclerc 2nd (30L/NH)91.686
Piastri 3rd (16L/UM)91.832
Piastri 2nd (6L/NH)92.007
Tsunoda 2nd (24L/NH)92.09
Russell 2nd (26L/NH)92.406
Magnussen 3rd (25L/NM)92.432
Hulkenberg 3rd (24L/NM)92.512
Alonso 2nd (28L/UM)92.587
Stroll 3rd (24L/UM)92.667
Ocon 2nd (28L/NH)92.677
Perez 2nd (8L/NH)92.707
Bottas 3rd (24L/NM)92.88
Ricciardo 2nd (24L/UM)92.896
Zhou 2nd (24L/NS)92.936
Piastri 1st (24L/NM)92.94
Verstappen 1st (21L/NM)92.999
Gasly 2nd (36L/NH)93.047
Norris 1st (26L/NM)93.057
Sainz 1st (24L/NM)93.066
Leclerc 1st (17L/NM)93.198
Albon 2nd (33L/NH)93.405
Perez 1st (15L/NM)93.442
Stroll 2nd (13L/UH)93.712
Sargeant 2nd (13L/NH)93.738
Bottas 2nd (13L/NH)93.786
Hulkenberg 2nd (12L/NH)93.786
Hamilton 1st (23L/NH)93.797
Russell 1st (21L/UM)93.926
Tsunoda 1st (25L/NM)93.974
Stroll 1st (9L/UM)94.187
Ocon 1st (20L/NM)94.194
Gasly 1st (10L/NM)94.216
Zhou 1st (24L/NM)94.272
Albon 1st (8L/NM)94.283
Hulkenberg 1st (10L/NM)94.292
Alonso 1st (20L/UH)94.392
Ricciardo 1st (24L/NH)94.401
Sargeant 1st (9L/NM)94.51
Magnussen 1st (20L/NH)94.569
Bottas 1st (9L/NS)94.612

Key: 1L= One Lap, 2L= Two Laps, NH= New Hards, UM= Used Mediums, NM= New Mediums, NS= New Softs


[1] In Miami, this excludes Logan Sargeant.

[2] I only include stints in the stint table if a driver has completed five or more representative laps, in an attempt to avoid fastest lap attempts. This has led to exclusions from the chart of Magnussen’s second stint and Albon’s third stint.


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