Pace and Analysis- Canadian Grand Prix 2024

Qualifying Pace-

I have collated the fastest laps by each driver in qualifying, to show the average gap to the fastest driver. Whilst this extends the gap between drivers who made it to the top ten and those below, I’ve ruled using the overall fastest times a better grounding point for the true limit of the top cars, as the cars most likely to compete for points are my primary focus in these analyses.

Additionally, I have collected the data for the gaps between teammates. I did this by using their lap times set in the same qualifying session. I generally compare the last session both drivers competed in, however if the fastest driver drove their fastest time in an earlier session, I count these times instead.

Race Pace-

I have calculated the average pace of the drivers, removing race starts, laps in the pit lane and laps under the safety car as these are all too slow to be representative. I have only included drivers that completed at least 75% of the laps to not skew the season averages against drivers that never got the chance to run their cars on low fuel, which excludes both Ferrari drivers, both Williams drivers and Sergio Perez in Canada

As different drivers have a varying number of race stints, this skews the overall pace. Generally, if a driver makes more stops, their pace will be faster on average. This will be considered in my final thoughts and analysis. Additionally, the average pace per stint and number of stints are recorded at the bottom of this article, for those interested in viewing more precise estimates of pace relative to other drivers on the same stint.[1]

Analysis:

  • Norris was a faster driver than Verstappen across all of the stints, the average pace is only slightly faster for Verstappen due to him stopping for dry tyres a couple laps earlier than Norris.
  • Perez was tremendously slow in this race before his accident. Of all the drivers, only Zhou was slower than Perez in the initial stint on intermediates. Verstappen, in comparison, was only slower than the McLarens.
  • Whilst no Ferrari finished the race, they looked slower than most other cars in Canada. Whether due to set-up issues or not, this shouldn’t be happening for a team contending for the constructor’s championship.
  • Magnussen looked particularly quick in his initial stint on wet tyres, setting laps up to two seconds quicker than Hulkenberg on the same tyres.
  • The Sauber is really beginning to look like the clear backmarker of the season. Whilst it started the year on pace with the rest of the lower midfield, if not faster at times, they have slipped back.

Further Resources-

Qualifying Pace:

DriverFastest Qualifying Time
George Russell71.742 (0%)
Lewis Hamilton71.979 (+0.330%)
Max Verstappen72 (+0.360%)
Lando Norris72.021 (+0.389%)
Oscar Piastri72.103 (+0.503%)
Daniel Ricciardo72.178 (+0.608%)
Fernando Alonso72.228 (+0.677%)
Yuki Tsunoda72.303 (+0.782%)
Alexander Albon72.485 (+1.036%)
Lance Stroll72.659 (+1.278%)
Charles Leclerc72.691 (+1.323%)
Carlos Sainz72.728 (+1.374%)
Logan Sargeant72.736 (+1.386%)
Kevin Magnussen72.916 (+1.636%)
Pierre Gasly72.94 (+1.670%)
Sergio Perez73.326 (+2.208%)
Valtteri Bottas73.366 (+2.264%)
Esteban Ocon73.435 (+2.360%)
Nico Hulkenberg73.978 (+3.117%)
Zhou Guanyu74.292 (+3.554%)

Average Race Pace:

DriverPace
Max Verstappen84.824 (0%)
Lando Norris84.834 (+0.012%)
George Russell85.011 (+0.220%)
Oscar Piastri85.037 (+0.251%)
Lewis Hamilton85.197 (+0.440%)
Kevin Magnussen86.233 (+1.662%)
Nico Hulkenberg86.299 (+1.739%)
Fernando Alonso86.318 (+1.761%)
Lance Stroll86.518 (+1.998%)
Daniel Ricciardo86.546 (+2.030%)
Pierre Gasly86.583 (+2.074%)
Esteban Ocon86.763 (+2.286%)
Yuki Tsunoda86.947 (+2.503%)
Valtteri Bottas87.131 (+2.720%)
Zhou Guanyu88.073 (+3.830%)

All Stints:

Best StintsPace
Hamilton 4th (11L/NH)76.154
Russell 4th (11L/NM)76.187
Norris 3rd (16L/NM)77.001
Verstappen 3rd (18L/NM)77.31
Magnussen 5th (11L/NM)77.82
Piastri 3rd (19L/NM)78.191
Alonso 3rd (18L/NH)79.083
Hulkenberg 4th (18L/NM)79.167
Stroll 3rd (18L/UH)79.224
Ricciardo 3rd (19L/UM)79.572
Ocon 2nd (18L/NM)79.475
Zhou 4th (13L/NM)79.475
Russell 3rd (7L/NH)79.774
Tsunoda 2nd (17L/NM)79.95
Gasly 3rd (22L/NH)80.078
Bottas 2nd (20L/NM)80.575
Hamilton 3rd (9L/NM)80.743
Sainz 3rd (8L/NM)81.445
Albon 3rd (7L/NM)81.555
Perez 3rd (7L/NM)81.764
Magnussen 4th (10L/NM)83.141
Norris 2nd (17L/NI)86.099
Verstappen 2nd (15L/NI)86.272
Russell 2nd (15L/NI)86.468
Piastri 2nd (14L/NI)86.692
Hamilton 2nd (13L/NI)86.868
Alonso 2nd (14L/NI)87.596
Zhou 3rd (6L/NM)87.616
Hulkenberg 2nd (10L/NI)87.783
Hulkenberg 3rd (13L/NI)87.833
Stroll 2nd (14L/NI)87.868
Albon 2nd (14L/NI)87.964
Leclerc 4th (8L/NI)88.168
Perez 2nd (13L/NI)88.329
Ricciardo 2nd (13L/NI)88.334
Sainz 2nd (13L/NI)88.42
Zhou 2nd (14L/NI)88.935
Magnussen 3rd (11L/NI)89.092
Gasly 2nd (10L/NI)89.15
Magnussen 2nd (16L/NI)89.179
Norris 1st (23L/NI)89.349
Piastri 1st (23L/NI)89.685
Verstappen 1st (23L/NI)89.759
Russell 1st (23L/NI)89.873
Tsunoda 1st (37/NI)90.161
Ocon 1st (37L/NI)90.308
Hamilton 1st (23L/NI)90.321
Bottas 1st (35L/NI)90.878
Alonso 1st (23L/NI)91.201
Ricciardo 1st (23L/NI)91.297
Stroll 1st (23L/NI)91.405
Albon 1st (23L/NI)91.531
Sainz 1st (23L/NI)91.621
Gasly 1st (23L/NI)91.69
Leclerc 1st (23L/NI)91.754
Sargeant 1st (21L/NI)91.834
Perez 1st (23L/NI)91.898
Zhou 1st (23L/NI)92.729
Magnussen 1st (5L/NW)95.212
Hulkenberg 1st (10L/NW)95.656
Key: 1L= One Lap, 2L= Two Laps, NW= New Wets, NI= New Inters, UM= Used Mediums, UH= Used Hards.

[1] I only include stints in the stint table if a driver has completed five or more representative laps, in an attempt to avoid fastest lap attempts. This has led to exclusions from the chart of Leclerc’s second and third stints.


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