Pole Position: Max Verstappen
- Max Verstappen
- Sergio Perez
- Oscar Piastri
Bold Prediction: George Russell gets eliminated from Qualifying before Q3
Pole Position: Max Verstappen
Bold Prediction: George Russell gets eliminated from Qualifying before Q3
This is part of a series of articles I will write during the year, to highlight some of the best performances of the weekend. I originally considered ranking all of the drivers, but wanted to keep this series positive, so am only focusing on the best performances F1 had to offer. Thus, in no particular order, five standouts from the weekend.
What more can be said about Verstappen? On a weekend where I had some hope of a Ferrari challenge, Max went and achieved a grand slam. He drove a car not dominant in qualifying to pole position, then drove away from the field, setting a fastest lap 1.4 seconds faster than anyone else. Verstappen deserves an endless amount of respect for his performances and I expect he’ll feature a lot in this series throughout this year. Perez also performed well, using the natural pace of that Red Bull to finish second, but Max was still 22 seconds ahead of him. Utter domination.
2. Carlos Sainz-
Sainz maximized his opportunities on Saturday. While his teammate suffered from brake issues and the Mercedes’ had cooling problems, Sainz still needed to overtake several cars to secure his place on the podium. He duly delivered a daring drive, with his moves on his teammate being particularly tenacious. If Carlos wants to get himself the best possible drive for 2025, he certainly started the season on the right foot.
3. Charles Leclerc-
Consistent brake issues meant Charles was lacking in pace compared to Carlos. We were robbed of seeing Charles at his best. But a 90% performance from Charles is still a gold star performance. Despite visibly awful issues, with a car that could barely turn right without locking up, Charles only finished 14 seconds behind his teammate and was comfortably ahead of the Mercedes powered cars. He even set the second fastest lap of the race. Most drivers who had the issues Charles faced this weekend would not have maximized their performance like this. The fact that Charles did provides me with hope that, when he has a fully working car underneath him, Charles can take the fight to the Red Bulls.
4. George Russell-
With so much talk and headlines involving Mercedes focusing on Lewis Hamilton, it becomes hard to remember that they have two top drivers. George Russell duly reminded me on Saturday, delivering when his teammate struggled. Russell qualified ahead of a Red Bull and a Ferrari, in a car that is yet to show it has the outright pace to do so. He then looked on for a podium for the first third of the race. Whilst he faded slightly, with his race pace being hindered by a cooling issue he showed a fighting spirit and extracted the maximum potential from the car he was given. The battle between him and Lewis will be fascinating this season and I’m personally interested to see how many of Mercedes’ eggs start falling in George’s basket.
5. Zhou Guanyu-
Zhou may have not finished in the points, but he took a car that did not look very fast and utilized a strategic offset, undercutting the bottom half of the field and then managing his tyres throughout the stints, to finish ahead of a number of faster cars and kick Sauber’s season off with a solid, if unremarkable, result. If Zhou wants to make a case to remain in F1 in a year where his contract is up, this is the perfect start.
Shoutout- Zane Maloney-
An acknowledgement has to Zane Maloney for his performance in F2 this weekend. He decided to become the Verstappen of F2, winning both the sprint and feature races easily. The overtakes he made in the sprint race were stunning, especially on Fittipaldi, which may be my moment of the weekend. In a weekend where other drivers expected for challenge for the title faltered, Maloney shone. There’s a long season to go, but the boy from Barbados just firmly put himself in title contention.
There was a lot of excitement regarding a Ferrari fightback through testing and practice. When Verstappen still clinched pole, there was disappointment, but I told myself that this Ferrari looks good and appears to have sorted their tyre wear problems. So of course, the race begins with Leclerc locking up at seemingly every corner. These lock ups were not a result of poor tyre wear, rather an issue with Leclerc’s brakes. Several drivers had issues throughout this race, with both Mercedes suffering from battery issues and Hamilton reporting that his seat was broken. Between these issues and the inevitable squabbling between drivers that resulted, Verstappen was allowed to drive off into the distance, a sight we’ve become used to seeing.
Albeit the first third of the race was quite entertaining. All the cars were relatively close and there was always a battle to cut to. Perez passing Leclerc and Seargeant passing Ricciardo were memorable, but the best battle came from the two Ferraris. Sainz clearly does not care whose feathers he ruffles, making an aggressive overtake on Leclerc on lap 11, before shutting the door on his teammate. Sainz then had to do the same on lap 17, after the first round of stops, before passing George Russell three laps later to bag himself a podium. As for Sainz’s replacement, he finished two places behind his teammate and spent more TV time going off the track than driving on it.
The race became more sparse of action shortly after the first stops. Gaps started to emerge between the drivers and the cars slotted into their natural positions. A personal highlight was watching Bottas’ 52-second pit stop, only for the TV directors to decide that as there was nothing else going on, we might as well spend a minute watching it again. Oscar Piastri attempting to defend from Lewis Hamilton on freezing tyres also entertained, though the difference in grip made that particular pass inevitable from the word go.
Thus, it fell on Visa Cash App to provide us with some drama. The car could have received a point with Tsunoda today, but the team allowed for Yuki to get undercut by multiple cars, likely as the team members were too busy checking their Visa Cash Apps. With so much focus on the current cost of living crisis, one would forget to do their job, a bit like when I found smashed up eggs under the fruit cases when working at Sainsburys. Though, even more controversially than me having to remove eggshells that were literally welded to the shelf, would be RB’s use of team orders. As Tsunoda was attempting to set up a move on Kevin Magnussen, they ordered a driver swap with Ricciardo. Yuki was not happy with this, arguing with the team until relinquishing the position a couple of laps later. I understand Yuki’s frustrations. In a year where a Red Bull seat is possibly on the line for him, he needs to beat Ricciardo consistently. After being in the hunt for points, to have the team mess up his strategy and use unnecessary team orders, I would be angry as well. What was less acceptable was when Yuki decided to divebomb Ricciardo after the race had finished. Moments of road rage are not good examples to set, especially when that road rage is directed against someone you are soon going to be spending hours in meetings with.
As the junior RB team provided some entertainment, the senior RB team sucked out a lot of it. Whilst I haven’t given up hope of there being some battles for the win this season, Red Bull getting yet another 1-2 has not filled me with unbridled optimism. As this may be one of the better chances for Ferrari to win in the early portion of the season, we may have to get used to learning the Dutch National Anthem. Again.
With the first race just days away, now is a great time to predict the championship standings. I have deliberately avoided seeing anyone else’s predictions, so am relying on testing, reports and social media reports to come up with these predictions.
Constructors Championship:
10: Sauber
As well as having a really poor sponsorship I wrote an article about, Sauber didn’t inspire much hope during testing. I expect a tough couple of seasons before Audi takes over the team.
9: Haas
I am taking a risk by not putting Haas last. But despite the general pessimism from the team, I’m betting on both Haas and Sauber not scoring many points, so it should only take one good result to swing the standings. I would not be surprised to see a surprise finish from Hulkenberg that would prevent Haas from finishing last again.
8: Alpine
In F1 testing Alpine looked like they could be the slowest team. Reports hint that the car is overweight and lacks downforce. Yes, the team should develop throughout the year but I don’t suspect them to develop fast enough to escape the lower midfield.
7: Williams
Albon proved last year that he can deliver consistently and singlehandedly won Williams seventh last year. For Williams to secure this position though, Logan Sargeant needs to perform. Sargeant had a really poor season last year, only scoring one point to Albon’s twenty-seven. But, if the Williams is a more stable car, hopefully Sargeant can score some better results to be top of the lower midfield.
6: Visa Cash App RB
Whilst having a ridiculous name, the VCARB impressed at pre-season testing. I expect them to occupy the position Alpine did last year, not challenging the top teams, but removed from the cars behind them..
5: Aston Martin
Alonso’s long run pace was quite impressive at pre-season testing. Whilst few expect a repeat of last year, where Aston Martin launched as the second fastest car, I do believe that they’ll be competing with the other top teams for podiums. They may even develop into one of the fastest cars. However, I cannot in good conscience put them any higher than fifth, due to the presence of Lance Stroll. He had a pretty terrible season last year and I expect this form to continue. But, if Stroll can turn his performances around, Aston could challenge for the top three places.
4: McLaren
I published an article at the beginning of the year doubting McLaren’s ambitions to be a Red Bull challenger. I based this upon the fact that McLaren had a history of making overly ambitious targets before their car had tested. Their long run pace appears to have vindicated me, as they look quite a way behind Red Bull and Ferrari. Whilst the track characteristics of Bahrain would exaggerate the deficit, as the McLaren was best in high-speed tracks last year, I think it unlikely that McLaren will immediately be challenging for race wins. However, as they have proven over the last two years, the team has a knack for in season development. This will likely save their season and despite my doubts, I do hope to see some McLaren race wins this year.
3: Mercedes
I expect Mercedes to have a very track specific car, as they have for the last couple of years, but probably with higher highs than the last two years. I think Mercedes, McLaren and possibly Aston Martin will be locked in a season long battle for third. But I think Mercedes has the best driver line up and Lewis Hamilton and George Russell should both be able to get wins if the car allows it.
2: Ferrari
Ferrari’s long run pace at the pre-season testing looked impressive. They do not look that far off Red Bull. I still expect Red Bull to be champions yet am optimistic that Ferrari will get a number of race wins this year.
1: Red Bull
The RB20 looks intimidating. Max Verstappen did not look to have any degradation in his long run pace and the team may have even found the W13’s missing downforce. A combination of another dominant car and the best driver in F1 should deliver them a relatively easy constructors’ championship.
Drivers Championship:
Bold Predictions:
Note: This article uses the Teammate Performance Index I created, for more information see Introducing The Teammate Performance Index
I originally planned to write this post after seeing some murmuring on Carlos Sainz possibly losing his seat on Twitter. I wanted to show how Carlos did not deserve to lose his seat, by comparing his results to Charles Leclerc’s over the past three seasons. Leclerc, in my opinion, is one of the rising stars of F1 and will almost certainly be a world champion. Other than Verstappen, he is the most exciting young driver in the sport. Yet, Sainz has compared reasonably well to Leclerc, more than most people were expecting. Yet, Sainz did lose his seat. He did not deserve it, but can take some solace to the fact that he only lost his seat to F1’s statistically most successful and marketable driver. But, this article is not about Sainz’s replacement, this is to pay tribute to the fantastic job Carlos has done. So, with no ado, Sainz’s scores on the Teammate Performance Index.
| Leclerc | Sainz | |
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Poles | 16 | 5 |
| Podiums | 18 | 16 |
| Points (Excl. Sprints+FL) | 632 | 567.5 |
| Point Positions | 53 | 54 |
| Qualifying H2H | 43 | 23 |
| Race H2H | 39 | 27 |
| DNF/S/Q’s | 10 | 9 |
| Fastest Laps | 3 | 2 |
| Championships | 0 | 0 |
And converted to percentage.
| % | Leclerc | Sainz |
| Wins | 60% | 40% |
| Poles | 76.19% | 23.81% |
| Podiums | 52.94% | 47.06% |
| Points (Excl. Sprints+FL) | 52.69% | 47.31% |
| Point Positions | 49.53% | 50.47% |
| Qualifying H2H | 65.15% | 34.85% |
| Race H2H | 59.09% | 40.91% |
| DNF/S/Q’s [Flipped] | 47.37% | 52.63% |
| Fastest Laps | 60% | 40% |
| Championships | 50% | 50% |
| Average | 57% | 43% |
Sainz scores reasonably well against Leclerc. Whilst Leclerc has a clear speed advantage, as shown by his domination of Sainz in the pole statistics and qualifying head to heads, on every other measure, Sainz performs with 40% or higher. He has finished in the points more times than Leclerc and has scored 47% of Ferrari’s points over the time. Sainz’s overall average is 43%, far higher than a typical No. 2 driver.[1] This score firmly places Sainz into the category of an equal first driver.
By way of comparison, Leclerc’s first teammate, Sebastian Vettel, was a four-time world champion. Whilst past his prime by the time Leclerc was his teammate, Vettel was still considered one of the strongest F1 drivers, having taken ten wins in the previous two seasons and even seeming like a championship contender for the first half of both seasons. Yet, when Leclerc became Vettel’s teammate, he found himself humbled, as is shown by the statistics.
| Leclerc | Vettel | |
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Poles | 7 | 2 |
| Podiums | 12 | 10 |
| Points (Excl. Sprints+FL) | 358 | 271 |
| Point Positions | 28 | 23 |
| Qualifying H2H | 25 | 13 |
| Race H2H | 21 | 17 |
| DNF/S/Q’s | 7 | 5 |
| Fastest Laps | 4 | 2 |
| Championships | 0 | 0 |
Or in percentage terms.
| % | Leclerc | Vettel |
| Wins | 66.67% | 33.33% |
| Poles | 77.78% | 22.22% |
| Podiums | 54.55% | 45.45% |
| Points (Excl. Sprints+FL) | 56.92% | 43.08% |
| Point Positions | 54.90% | 45.10% |
| Qualifying H2H | 65.79% | 34.21% |
| Race H2H | 55.26% | 44.74% |
| DNF/S/Q’s [Flipped] | 41.67% | 58.33% |
| Fastest Laps | 66.67% | 33.33% |
| Championships | 50% | 50% |
| Average | 59.03% | 40.97% |
Vettel performed worse against Leclerc than Sainz on most metrics. Leclerc dominated Vettel in qualifying slightly more than he did to Sainz, but Vettel also falls back on points, only receiving 45% of the team’s points. Whilst slightly outperforming Sainz in race head-to-heads, Vettel had far more peaks and troughs than Leclerc. Vettel also faced a Leclerc who was new to Ferrari and had only spent one previous season in F1, whilst Sainz entered a Ferrari seen by many as Leclerc’s team. Yet, Vettel’s average was 41%, still less than Sainz would achieve.
Yet, Sainz is now embarking upon his final season with Ferrari. Their car looks beautiful and if testing is to be believed, it seems fast as well. Ferrari should count themselves lucky that they have two drivers performing at a similar level. If their gamble to sign Hamilton does not pay off, they may regret dropping Sainz in the future, especially if he ends up in a rival team. Because other teams are looking at the same statistics that we are and recognize that Sainz is incredibly talented. Be it Audi, Mercedes or Red Bull, they should all heavily consider signing Carlos.
[1] I am currently engaged in data collection for F1’s no 2s, expect to see that article in a month or so, but rest assured, most have far worse statistical results than Sainz.
There’s nothing more fun in the world than messing around with statistics, is a fun way of admitting that I have a limited social life.
Regardless, I do enjoy the occasional statistical model, so I made my own, the Teammate Performance Index. This measures ten different statistics between teammates, weights each one to 10% and finds an overall percentage performance between the drivers. Whilst the categories are completely made up based on personal preference and are weighted towards successful drivers (as wins, poles and championships are included), but my hope is that when I collect a wide range of drivers, it will create a clearer picture as to driver performance. Whilst the statistics will not be treated as gospel, as they are made up for fun, it will help to broaden opinions if used as a tool to compare driver performances.
With no ado, here is a template of the index.
| Driver One | Driver Two | |
| Wins | ||
| Poles | ||
| Podiums | ||
| Points (Excl. Sprints&FL) | ||
| Point Positions | ||
| Qualifying H2H | ||
| Race H2H | ||
| DNF/S/Q’s | ||
| Fastest Laps | ||
| Championships |
Wins:
This is self-explanatory, compare the number of wins each driver has over their time as teammates.
Poles:
Compare the number of poles each driver has over their time as teammates.
Podiums:
Compare the number of podiums each driver has over their time as teammates.
Points (Excluding Sprints and Fastest Laps):
Compare the points each driver has over their time as teammates. I excluded the sprints as they have only been in F1 for a few years, so are not a fair comparison to make between eras. I also exluded the fastest laps, both for this reason and because when fastest laps are later included as a category. I will use the modern points system between eras, as it creates a consistent value for each position and a consistent percentage gap between 1st and 2nd place.
Point Positions:
The amount of times a driver finished in the points paying positions. I am not using the modern points system for this category, as there is limited value applied to the position itself and the points have expanded as the reliability of the cars have expanded. Additionally, it also allows for both the modern points system and past points systems to be represented in the data of the model.
Qualifying Head-to-Head:
How many times each driver beat the other in qualifying before grid penalties are applied.
Race Head-to-Head:
How many times each driver beat the other in the races. I am including one driver finishing and the other not in the statistics, both due to the frequency of retirements before the modern era of F1 leading to the data set becoming incredibly small to compare drivers to and because many times a retirement is in part or in full that drivers fault, so should be considered as part of performance.
Did Not Finish, Did Not Start, Did Not Qualify, Disqualified:
The amount of times each driver met one of these conditions during their time as teammates. Unlike the other categories, the percentage is flipped when measuring it, so if the result was 2-1, the driver with 2 would receive 33.3% and the driver with 1 would receive 66.6%
Fastest Laps:
Compare the number of fastest laps each driver got during their time as teammates. For the classic era, when multiple drivers may have received fastest laps due to inaccurate timing data, all drivers will be considered to have had one fastest lap.
Championships:
How many championships each driver has. To note, if drivers receive 0-0 on any of the categories, they will both receive 50% as default, despite the fact that is not actually how maths works when dividing with zero. However, it is the most useful way of expressing the data in the model. Of course, this balances the model towards successful teams and drivers, as there are more complete data sets to work with, but I want to put my focus on comparing the more successful drivers, at the present time.
So, this is my new model. Its flaws will likely become apparent as I collect more data for it, but should be a fun way of looking through an comparing the statistical record. The next article I am writing will use this model, hence my introduction of it today.
I appear to be the only person in the world who likes the new Alpine livery. In my opinion, it’s an improvement on the previous design, as I thought that the pink and blue clashed too much. By minimizing those colours and making black the dominant colour on the livery, it feels sleeker to me. Yet most fans were disappointed with the livery. The primary reason is that carbon fiber is being overused to save weight on current F1 cars. Removing colour from a livery when every other team is also doing that frustrates people, leading to calls for rules to be introduced to prevent the practice.[1]
Yet, I suspect a second factor helps explain why the reaction to Alpine’s livery seemed the most negative. Since buying Lotus in 2015, Renault have failed to meet the targets that they set, been involved in unnecessary drama and are unable to maintain consistency between seasons. Assessing Renault’s performances and dramas over years shows a team seemingly in constant disarray.
2016:
Renault reentered F1 in 2016 with ambition. Taking over the Lotus team that they had previously sold, the team announced that they were embarking upon a ‘five-year plan’, with senior officials expressing that they would expand their operations to challenge for podiums by 2018 and the title by 2020.[2] However, by inheriting a team that needed to be rebuilt, 2016 was always going to be a difficult year for Renault. Both drivers never qualified in the top ten and the team finished 9th, only ahead of Sauber and Manor. The only particular highlight of the year was Kevin Magnussen’s impressive drive from 17th to 7th at the Russian Grand Prix, defending from a train of faster cars in the process.[3] Whilst Renault developed the car somewhat at the start of the season, by the middle of the year they had shifted their focus to the 2017 aero rules, Renault boss Cyril Abiteboul remaining hopeful that with an improved aero department, their five year plan was still on track to achieve success.[4]
2017:
2017 was a much more positive year for Renault. New driver Nico Hulkenberg regularly qualified in the top ten and finished the British, Belgian and Abu Dhabi grand prix as best of the rest.[5] The team were making progress, jumping from 9th to 6th in the championship. Yet, Hulkenberg’s teammate, Jolyon Palmer, had a horrific year, only finishing in the points once. This led to Palmer being dropped before the season finished, to be replaced by Carlos Sainz, who had already been signed for 2018.[6] Whilst this may have seemed a smart move to secure 6th in the championship, it is also an early hint of a problem that would haunt Renault in later years, their ability to mismanage and disrespect their drivers.
Regardless, at the time, it appeared that the five-year plan was on track. 2018 could prove an important year for the team, as it would test their ability to make good on their promises, challenge for podiums and reach the top of the midfield.
2018:
2018 was a year of mixed fortunes for Renault. They achieved their ambition of being top of the midfield and attracted Daniel Ricciardo, then considered one of the best drivers in F1, to drive for them in 2019.[7] Both drivers regularly finished in the points, with Hulkenberg finishing best of the rest in six races, with Sainz also doing so at the season finale at Abu Dhabi. Yet, whilst representing steady progress, the team did not get anywhere close to their stated ambition of podiums in 2018, in fact only finishing in the top five twice.[8] Thus, whilst in his article for The Race Edd Straw argues that the plan appeared to be on course, evidence he provides contradicts this, with former chief technical officer Bob Bell sounding the alarm that five years was the minimum and that it may take longer for Renault to challenge.[9]
The plan had been somewhat disrupted. Yet, with a top driver joining the team, hopes were high that progress could be made. The worst thing Renault could do at this point would be to move backwards.
2019:
In 2019, Renault moved backwards, from 4th to 5th in the championship. Whilst they received 122 points in the previous year, in 2019 they fell to 91. Whilst the team placed their hope in a series of upgrades introduced at the French GP, these failed to make a notable improvement in performance. Once this had happened, it was recognized that the plan was not on track, leading to a reshuffle, wherein Dirk de Beer was hired as head of aerodynamics and Pat Fry was hired for his engineering expertise.[10] No podiums were achieved in the year and points finishes proved irregular. However, the team did have a day-of-days at the 2019 Italian Grand Prix. The team finished 4th and 5th that day, beating the Red Bulls on pace and Ricciardo only finished ten seconds behind Lewis Hamilton in 3rd. This was Renault’s best performance since reentering F1 in 2016. This at least was a sign that Renault were improving, holding out hope that they may start to challenge for podiums soon.
2020:
By 2020, few held hope that Renault could challenge for the title. The Formula One website ranked Renault only 5th in their pre-season rankings after testing.[11] And between testing and the season opener, Daniel Ricciardo decided to sign with McLaren for 2021. This gravely upset the higher ups at Renault, with team boss Cyril Abiteboul consistently stating that Ricciardo owed the team his loyalty.[12] Abiteboul even dramatized this saga, appearing on Drive to Survive painting Ricciardo as the villain, who had a commitment to stay with Renault and had broken that commitment. This is despite the fact that Ricciardo only signed with Renault for two years. So contractually, he owed Renault nothing. Cyril came across like a desperate boyfriend who could not accept that he was being broken up with. Furthermore, this attitude towards their drivers did not only affect Cyril, as would become apparent in 2022.
All the drama distracts from the fact that Renault had a comparatively fantastic 2020. Whilst still finishing 5th, they were far more competitive than the previous year, challenging for 3rd in the championship to season’s end. The team finished in the top five nine times and finally achieved podiums, two years behind schedule. Two 3rd places for Ricciardo and a career-best 2nd place in the penultimate race for Esteban Ocon provided hope that the team would continue to improve. With two-time world champion Fernando Alonso coming on board, Renault had signed one of the strongest drivers in F1. With a rebrand to becoming the Alpine F1 team, the absolute worst thing the team could do would be to make another unrealistic plan.
2021:
Alpine’s 2021 began with the announcement that long-term team boss Cyril Abiteboul had departed the team. Along with this announcement came the appointment of Laurent Rossi as Alpine’s new CEO.[13] Unfortunately, Rossi had not learned from mistakes made under the previous regime. He decided to announce that Alpine had a 100-race plan ‘that places us on the podium as many times as possible in 2024. From today in fifth, you can easily find a roadmap.’[14] Rossi set a target of season-by-season improvement, which would later come to be his undoing when this target did not materialize.[15]
2021 itself was a year of mixed fortunes for Alpine. They were not as competitive as they had been in the previous season, with Ferrari and McLaren delivering faster cars that allowed them, not Alpine, to fight for 3rd. However, the team delivered upon a shock win at the 2021 Hungarian Grand Prix, their finest moment since reentering F1. After lining up in eighth, a series of unfortunate collisions and a strategy error from Mercedes left Esteban Ocon in the lead. Under pressure from Sebastian Vettel all race, Ocon controlled the race at the front and made no costly errors. Yet, throughout the race, Lewis Hamilton had been charging from the back of the field and a win still looked possible. Unfortunately for him, Alpine had Fernando Alonso in between Hamilton and the race lead. Alonso, utilizing all his talent, made his car as wide as possible and defended on the edge, holding Hamilton up for nine laps. This solidified the race win for Ocon, proved Alpine had made an inspired choice when they signed Alonso and seemed to signal a brighter future for the team.
2022:
2022 appeared to be an hopeful year for Alpine in the first half. They came into the new regulations with a quick car, which Alonso used to contend for pole in Australia and Canada. Whilst not quite a top team, this appeared to many, for example Finley Crebolder of Planet F1, like Alpine’s 100-race plan was working.[16] Yet, performance is only one measure of running a successful F1 team and the events of the summer showed that Alpine lacked the managerial skills needed.
Fernando Alonso is one of the greatest drivers in the history of F1. Even in his 40s, he is still delivering at a sublime level. Any team that has Fernando as a driver should do their upmost to keep him happy. Unfortunately, Alpine learnt what happens when you don’t. Alonso had frequently expressed his desire to race for many more years in F1, yet Alpine were only willing to sign a 1+1-year deal with Alonso, with a view to transferring him to their sportscar programme.[17] This was because they saw their rookie driver, Oscar Piastri, as the team’s long-term future. Alonso, in response to what he saw as disrespect, signed for Aston Martin as soon as a seat became available. Yet, as the team had been certain that they would sign with Alonso for 2023, they were obliged to find Piastri an F1 seat earlier in the year. The only seat they were willing to loan him to was Williams, which Piastri found an unattractive prospect.[18] Therefore, when he became a free agent, Piastri signed with Alpine’s rival, McLaren. When Alonso then left the team, Alpine were left with no available driver. They then decided to announce that Piastri was driving for them without his permission, in what appeared to be an attempt to pressure Piastri into taking the seat.[19] This included the team boss, Otmar Szafnauer, walking in on Piastri in the simulator and announcing that he was driving for the team, in front of people who did not know Piastri’s contractual situation.[20] This led to Piastri having to publicly tweet that he was not driving for the team, which caused an internet firestorm.[21] This controversy have been worth it, if Alpine had a legal case to sign Piastri, yet when the case went to the Contract Recognition Board, they ruled that Piastri’s only valid F1 contract was with McLaren.[22] After the fact, Otmar Szafnauer showed that Cyril’s reaction to Ricciardo leaving reflects a wider cultural problem in the team of disrespect for their employees. Otmar in many interviews painted Piastri as disloyal, selfish and ungrateful, implying that he would regret his decision.[23] This entire situation embarrassed Alpine, who successfully managed to alienate two star-quality drivers and were shown to lack the maturity to manage a top F1 team.
2023:
When launching their car in 2023, Alpine were still following the 100-race plan. Otmar expressed a desire to improve in the standings and ‘be closer to third than fifth… even if we stay fourth, we’ve got to make progress.’[24] However, Alpine would finish the season in sixth, being leapfrogged by Aston Martin and McLaren, who both managed to become regular podium contenders. Tensions escalated throughout the year, as CEO Laurent Rossi described his team’s performance as amateurish, which came across as highly demotivating and yet another sign of disrespect towards employees of the team.[25] And by the end of the year, everyone associated with the 100-race plan was out of the team, including Rossi and Szafnauer, effectively leaving the plan abandoned.[26] Whilst 2023 was not all bad, as the team achieved two podiums, setting unrealistic goals once again backfired in the team’s face and led to another reshuffle.
Thus, Alpine enters 2024 afresh, with new leadership in the form of Bruno Famin. The early signs are hopeful, as Famin was clear in a conversation with Lawrence Barretto that he did not want to set specific targets as ‘sometimes in F1 you go two steps forward and one step backwards.’[27] Obviously, the team still has ambitions to get to the front of F1, they are the Renault works team, with a heritage of success in the 90s and 2000s. Yet, this quote presents some hope that the team have learnt from past failings, that the era of unrealistic plans has come to an end.
[1] Should F1 introduce new livery rule over increasing issue?, Ewan Gale, RacingNews365 (7 February 2024) https://racingnews365.com/should-f1-introduce-new-livery-rule-over-increasing-issue
[2] Bob Bell: Renault’s rebuild means F1 title in five years is “not unrealistic”, Motorsport.com (23 August 2016) https://www.motorsport.com/f1/news/bob-bell-renaults-rebuild-means-f1-title-in-five-years-is-not-unrealistic/3221283/; Renault halts 2016 F1 car development, Jonathan Noble, Motorsport.com (21 July 2016) https://www.motorsport.com/f1/news/renault-halts-2016-f1-car-development-800573/800573/
[3] F1: Russian Grand Prix – as it happened, Tom Davies, The Guardian (1 May 2016) https://web.archive.org/web/20160504180816/http://www.theguardian.com/sport/live/2016/may/01/f1-russian-grand-prix-live
[4] Renault halts 2016 F1 car development https://www.motorsport.com/f1/news/renault-halts-2016-f1-car-development-800573/800573/
[5] In 2017/18/19, best of the rest refers to the highest finishing driver outside of Mercedes, Ferrari and Red Bull.
[6] Jolyon Palmer out at Renault, Carlos Sainz in, after Japanese GP, Jonathan Green & James Galloway, Sky Sports F1 (8 October 2017) https://www.skysports.com/f1/news/12433/11070504/jolyon-palmer-out-at-renault-carlos-sainz-in-after-japanese-gp
[7] Ricciardo to join Hulkenberg at Renault for 2019 (3 August 2018) https://www.formula1.com/en/latest/headlines/2018/8/ricciardo-joins-hulkenberg-at-renault-in-2019.html
[8] Renault halts 2016 F1 car development https://www.motorsport.com/f1/news/renault-halts-2016-f1-car-development-800573/800573/; Bob Bell: Renault’s rebuild means F1 title in five years is “not unrealistic” https://www.motorsport.com/f1/news/bob-bell-renaults-rebuild-means-f1-title-in-five-years-is-not-unrealistic/3221283/
[9] Why Renault’s Five-Year F1 Plan Failed, Edd Straw, The Race (21 October 2020) https://www.the-race.com/formula-1/why-renaults-five-year-f1-plan-failed/
[10] Failed French Grand Prix upgrade triggered Renault F1 reshuffle, Jonathan Noble, Autosport (14 November 2019) https://www.autosport.com/f1/news/failed-french-grand-prix-upgrade-triggered-renault-f1-reshuffle-4985837/4985837/
[11] F1 POWER RANKINGS: From 10 to 1 – revisiting how we ranked the teams after winter testing (30 June 2020) https://www.formula1.com/en/latest/article.f1-power-rankings-from-10-to-1-revisiting-how-we-ranked-the-teams-after.3NhOSQN07l1E1b90evIyo5.html
[12] ‘Unity and commitment are critical’ say Renault as Ricciardo split announced (14 May 2020) https://www.formula1.com/en/latest/article.unity-and-commitment-are-critical-say-renault-as-ricciardo-split-announced.2Lcj1J7kTz0c85fGXG3KBC.html
[13] Cyril Abiteboul leaves Renault and will not lead Alpine F1 team, Matt Morlidge, Sky Sports F1 (12 January 2021) https://skysports.com/f1/news/12433/12185143/cyril-abiteboul-leaving-renault-and-will-not-lead-alpine-f1-team
[14] ‘It’s a 100-race project’ – CEO Laurent Rossi outlines Alpine’s roadmap to reach the summit of F1 (16 October 2021) https://www.formula1.com/en/latest/article.its-a-100-race-project-ceo-laurent-rossi-outlines-alpines-roadmap-to-reach.2TA0a4d491WWAjbuzsDTzw.html
[15] It’s a 100-race project’ – CEO Laurent Rossi outlines Alpine’s roadmap to reach the summit of F1 https://www.formula1.com/en/latest/article.its-a-100-race-project-ceo-laurent-rossi-outlines-alpines-roadmap-to-reach.2TA0a4d491WWAjbuzsDTzw.html
[16] With Alpine, Renault’s plans finally seem to be on track, Finley Crebolder, Planet F1 (14 July 2022) https://www.planetf1.com/features/alpine-renault-plans-finally-on-track
[17] ANALYSIS: Why Alonso accepted Aston Martin’s advances and signed a shock deal – and why it could be a perfect match, Lawrence Barretto (1 August 2022) https://www.formula1.com/en/latest/article.analysis-why-alonso-accepted-aston-martins-advances-and-signed-a-shock-deal.2hSAZ2QtgVtuEJa4chM7c4.html
[18] Piastri’s Not a Villain- Trust and Loyalty go Both Ways, Scott Mitchell-Malm, The Race (1 September 2022) https://www.the-race.com/formula-1/piastris-not-a-villain-trust-and-loyalty-go-both-ways/
[19] Piastri’s Not a Villain- Trust and Loyalty go Both Ways https://www.the-race.com/formula-1/piastris-not-a-villain-trust-and-loyalty-go-both-ways/
[20] Oscar Piastri: New McLaren signing opens up on ‘bizarre and upsetting’ Alpine F1 exit and team behaviour, Matt Morlidge, Sky Sports F1 (3 September 2022) https://www.skysports.com/f1/news/12433/12688414/oscar-piastri-new-mclaren-signing-opens-up-on-bizarre-and-upsetting-alpine-f1-exit-and-team-behaviour
[21] https://twitter.com/OscarPiastri/status/1554527452231262210?lang=en
[22] Piastri to race for McLaren in 2023 following CRB decision (2 September 2022) https://www.formula1.com/en/latest/article.breaking-piastri-to-race-for-mclaren-in-2023-following-crb-decision.6jDE57LmqHCyrd7yKx1BLZ.html
[23] Alpine boss Szafnauer responds to CRB ruling and Piastri’s ‘bizarre and upsetting’ comments (3 September 2022) https://www.formula1.com/en/latest/article.alpine-boss-szafnauer-responds-to-crb-ruling-and-piastris-bizarre-and.ZXLvO8h9mqbUwzwVdsU3H.html, Alpine reopen Piastri wound with new jab: “Eliminate the loopholes…”, James Dielhenn, Crash.net (3 February 2023) https://www.crash.net/f1/news/1019808/1/alpine-reopen-piastri-wound-new-jab-eliminate-loopholes, Alpine chief predicts Oscar Piastri’s F1 career will “perish” after defecting to McLaren, Daniel Moxon, Daily Mirror (22 December 2022) https://www.mirror.co.uk/sport/formula-1/oscar-piastri-mclaren-alpine-szafnauer-28798786
[24] Alpine unveils 2023 F1 challenger in London, Filip Cleeren, Autosport (16 February 2023) https://www.autosport.com/f1/news/alpine-unveils-2023-f1-challenger-in-london/10433120/#:~:text=Alpine’s%202023%20ambition%20is%20to,to%20third%20than%20to%20fifth%22.
[25] Alpine boss blasts F1 team’s performance as ‘amateurish’ at times, Jonathan Noble & Benjamin Vinel, Autosport (7 May 2023) https://www.autosport.com/f1/news/alpine-boss-blasts-f1-teams-performance-as-amateurish-at-times/10466340/
[26] Is Alpine’s 100-race F1 dream finally over? Brivio latest to leave Enstone, Cambridge Kisby, Motorsport Magazine (12 December 2023) https://www.motorsportmagazine.com/articles/single-seaters/f1/alpine-f1s-poisoned-chalice-szafnauer-latest-to-be-axed/#:~:text=In%202021%2C%20Alpine%20CEO%20Laurent,title%2Dcontending%20outfit%20in%202024
[27] ANALYSIS: Alpine’s plan to avoid another lonely finish in the F1 constructors’ standings, Lawrence Barretto (8 February 2024) https://www.formula1.com/en/latest/article.analysis-alpines-plan-to-avoid-another-lonely-finish-in-the-f1-constructors.2WtNsRCq5rSNDnvFth6Tn1.html